饮用水源地安全是保障公众生命安全、维护社会稳定的重要前提,水力发电是实现低碳减排、缓解发电行业污染的重要电能供给形式。围绕三峡库区饮用水源地水环境安全保障,提出了三峡及其上游梯级水库群联合调度方案与运行准则构建了水库群多目标联合调度决策支持系统及可视化平台,为三峡库区水源地安全保障及水库群经济效益提升提供了科学依据。
1. 建立了“动态水环境容量计算方法”,探明了水库群联合调度下饮用水源地水环境承载力的动态响应机制,构建了三峡库区饮用水源地水环境安全评判体系并得出了库区饮用水源地水环境安全评判结论。
2. 开发了水源地水质安全预警预报模型,评估了水库群梯级联合调度保障三峡水库生态安全的可行性;并在此基础上明确了不同水环境状况下、保障典型饮用水源地水环境安全的调度需求。
3. 提出了保障库区饮用水源地水环境安全的梯级水库群联合调度方案与运行准则,形成了基于三峡及上游水库群联合调度的、应对突发水污染事件的多等级应急响应技术措施及调度预案。
4. 搭建了水库群多目标联合调度决策支持系统及可视化平台,开展了“溪洛渡-向家坝-三峡”水库群联合多目标优化调度和业务化运行,形成了三峡流域水体安全保障重器。“三峡及其上游梯级水库群联合调度决策支持系统及应用平台”于2017 年落户于三峡梯级调度中心并运行,第三方检测出总体可用率大于85%;系统响应时间小于 5 秒,静态响应小于 2 秒,会商1小时以上,可适时应用。项目开展了三峡水库“潮汐式”调度,使得在库区饮用水源地遭遇突发性水污染事故时可使水环境在 1-5 天内满足水源地取水要求。与此同时,通过对三峡及上游梯级水库群水量水质的优化联合调度,每年可增加一定的发电量,产生较大的经济效益,在近三年的中小洪水调度中,增加了发电的直接效益 5.13 亿元。
近几年以通讯作者身份在国内外学术期刊上发表论文 200 余篇,专著 9 部,发明专利 8 项,获批软件著作权 11 项。成果被以张传勇院士为代表的第三方评估为“项目难度大,创新突出,整体达到国际领先水平”,在国内外形成较大的影响,被国内多家媒体报道转载,并为表彰该成果在水力发电科学技术进步工作中做出的重大贡献,于 2020 年荣获省部级一等奖—“水力发电科学技术奖”,被誉为“长江大保护治水利器”。
代表性成果:
(1) Jing Sang, Baodeng Hou, Hejia Wang, Xiaowen Ding*. Prediction of Water Resources Change Trend in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area under Future Climate Change. Journal of Hydrology, 2023, 617, 128881. (IF=6.4)
(2) Xiaowen Ding*, Xingsheng Dong, Baodeng Hou, Guohua Fan, Xinyi Zhang. Visual Platform for Water Quality Prediction and Pre-Warning of Drinking Water Source Area in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2021, 309, 127398. (IF=11.1)
(3) Aifeng Zhai, Xiaowen Ding*, Lin Liu, Quan Zhu, Guohe Huang. Total Phosphorus Accident Pollution and Emergency Response Study based on Geographic Information System in Three Gorges Reservoir area. Frontiers of Environmental Science and Engineering, 2020, 14, 1-13. (IF=6.4)
(4) Xiaowen Ding*, Quan Zhu, Aifeng Zhai, Lin Liu. Water Quality Safety Prediction Model for Drinking Water Source Areas in Three Gorges Reservoir and its Application. Ecological Indicators, 2019, 101, 734-741. (IF=6.9)
(5) Qing Li, Hao Yang, Ning Hao, Meijn Du, Yuanyuan Zhao, Yu Li*, Xixi Li*. Biodegradability Analysis of Dioxins Through in Silico Methods: Model Construction and Mechanism Analysis. Journal of Environmental Management, 2023, 345, 118898. (IF=8.7)
(6) Wei He, Peixuan Sun, Yuanyuan Zhao, Qikun Pu, Hao Yang, Ning Hao, Yu Li*. Source Toxicity Characteristics of Short-and Medium-Chain Chlorinated Paraffin in Multi-Environmental Media: Product Source Toxicity, Molecular Source Toxicity and Food Chain Migration Control Through Silica Methods. Science of The Total Environment, 2023, 876, 162861. (IF=9.8)
(7) Meijin Du, Qikun Pu, Xixi Li, Hao Yang, Ning Hao, Qing Li, Yuanyuan Zhao*, Yu Li*. Perfluoroalkyl and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (PFAS) Adsorbed on Microplastics in Drinking Water: Implications for Female Exposure, Reproductive Health Risk and its Mitigation Strategies through in Silico Methods. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023, 391, 136191. (IF=11.1)
(8) Xu Wang, Ye Xu*, Zhenghui Fu, Junhong Guo, Zhe Bao, Wei Li, Yue Zhu. A Dynamic Interactive Optimization Model of CCHP System Involving Demand-side and Supply-side Impacts of Climate Change. Part I: Methodology Development. Energy Conversion and Management, 2022, 252, 115112. (IF=10.4)
(9) Xu Wang, Ye Xu*, Zhenghui Fu, Junhong Guo, Zhe Bao, Wei Li, Yue Zhu. A Dynamic Interactive Optimization Model of CCHP System Involving Demand-Side and Supply-Side Impacts of Climate Change. Part II: Application to a Hospital in Shanghai, China. Energy Conversion and Management, 2022, 252, 115139. (IF=10.4)
(10) Zhuo Chen, Junhong Guo*, Wei Li*, Fei Zhang, Chan Xiao, Zhangrong Pan. Changes in Wind Energy Potential over China Using a Regional Cimate Model Ensemble. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022, 159. (IF=15.9)